EU imports document volumes of liquefied pure fuel from Russia

The EU is about to import document volumes of liquefied pure fuel from Russia this 12 months, regardless of aiming for the bloc to wean itself off Russian fossil fuels by 2027.

Within the first seven months of this 12 months, Belgium and Spain had been the second and third-biggest consumers of Russian LNG behind China, in line with evaluation of trade information by International Witness, a nongovernment organisation.

Total, EU imports of the super-chilled fuel had been up 40 per cent between January and July this 12 months in contrast with the identical interval in 2021, earlier than Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

The leap comes from a low base because the EU didn’t import vital quantities of LNG earlier than the warfare in Ukraine as a consequence of its reliance on piped fuel from Russia.

However the rise is way sharper than the worldwide common enhance in imports of Russian LNG, which was 6 per cent over the identical interval, International Witness stated.

The NGO’s evaluation relies on information from trade analytics firm Kpler, which confirmed that the EU is importing about 1.7 per cent extra Russian LNG than it did when imports hit a document excessive final 12 months.

International Witness stated the price of the LNG imported from January to July at spot market costs amounted to €5.29bn.

“It’s stunning that international locations within the EU have labored so laborious to wean themselves off piped Russian fossil fuel solely to exchange it with the shipped equal,” stated Jonathan Noronha-Gant, senior fossil gas campaigner at International Witness. “It doesn’t matter if it comes from a pipeline or a ship — it nonetheless means European firms are sending billions to [Vladimir] Putin’s warfare chest.”

A lot of the Russian volumes come from the Yamal LNG three way partnership, which is majority-owned by the Russian firm Novatek. Different stakes are held by France’s TotalEnergies, China’s CNPC and a Chinese language state fund. The enterprise is exempt from export duties however is topic to earnings tax.

In addition to leading to billions of euros in revenues going to Russia at a time when the EU continues to tighten its sanctions regime towards Moscow, the import ranges depart the EU uncovered to any sudden determination by the Kremlin to chop provides because it did for piped fuel final 12 months.

Alex Froley, senior LNG analyst at consultancy ICIS, stated that “long-term consumers in Europe say they are going to preserve taking contracted volumes except it’s banned by politicians”. He added that an EU ban on imports would trigger some disruptions to delivery as world commerce patterns would should be rearranged, “however finally Europe may discover different suppliers and Russia different consumers”.

Belgium imports massive volumes of Russian LNG as a result of its port of Zeebrugge is likely one of the few European factors of transshipment for LNG from ice-class tankers used within the excessive north to common cargo vessels.

Spain’s utility Naturgy and France’s Complete even have persevering with contracts for giant portions of Russian LNG, analysts stated.

EU policymakers have been urging European firms to not purchase Russian LNG.

Spanish power minister Teresa Ribera, whose authorities is chairing the six-month rotating presidency of the EU, stated in March that LNG ought to be hit with sanctions, including that the scenario was “absurd”.

Kadri Simson, the EU’s power commissioner, has stated that the bloc “can and will eliminate Russian fuel utterly as quickly as attainable, nonetheless preserving in thoughts our safety of provide”.

EU officers have pointed to an total effort to section out Russian fossil fuels by 2027, however warned that an outright ban on LNG imports risked prompting an power disaster akin to final 12 months when EU fuel costs hit document highs of greater than €300 per megawatt hour.

One official stated that regardless of European fuel storage containers being greater than 90 per cent full forward of winter, there was nonetheless “a variety of nervousness” ought to there be any additional cuts to provides.

Russian LNG accounted for 21.6mn, or 16 per cent, of the EU’s whole 133.5mn cubic metres of LNG imports (equal to 82bn cubic metres of pure fuel) between January and July, Kpler information reveals, making it the bloc’s second-biggest provider of the liquid gas after the US.

In March, power ministers launched a clause to new guidelines governing the bloc’s fuel market that will permit governments to ban Russian and Belarusian firms reserving capability on EU LNG infrastructure in an effort to discover a authorized strategy to forestall imports.

However the proposal should first be negotiated with the European parliament earlier than it could possibly take impact.

Henning Gloystein, director of power, local weather and sources at Eurasia Group, stated the chance of governments having to order trade shutdowns due to fuel shortages this winter was “close to zero”.

The EU should minimize demand by an additional 10 per cent, Gloystein added. “If we don’t structurally cut back fuel consumption by 10 to fifteen per cent, we’re vulnerable to repeating this race [for supplies] yearly.”